If these two loss watch out, it will be a wave year for tea party!

[Dmitri Veans]

If these two loss watch out, it will be a wave year for tea party!

 

The first test for the tea party this cycle hits Alabama in less than six weeks.

Rep. Martha Roby is battling a Re­pub­lic­an primary challenge from con­ser­vat­ive act­iv­ist Becky Ger­rit­son, who has steeped her cam­paign in an outsider message. Roby is favored to win but all eyes are focused on who votes in the primary the view at the moment is if Trump and Cruz supporters show up in mass she could loss even as she spends 20 to 1 in this primary.

 

Sen. Richard Shelby will be the first senate test in nation and has been forced to spend big money so far trying to hold on to his seat. He is also expected to win but we return to who shows up to vote and if Trump and Cruz support show up as expected Alabama could well foretell just how much success the tea party will have in the coming election cycle. 

[Dmitri Veans]

Are GOP incumbents in for a new wave of tea party rage? This Alabam...

 

 

Over at the National Journal, Kimberly Railey profiles a March 1 GOP primary we haven’t talked much about. Over in Alabama’s solidly red 2nd Congressional District, third-term Rep. Martha Roby faces an intra-party challenge from Becky Ger­rit­son, who heads a local tea party group. 

On the surface, it doesn’t look like there’s much to see here. Unlike Eric Cantor, the tea party’s most famous primary victim, Roby actually appears to be taking her renomination seriously. The incumbent raised a solid $310,000 over the last quarter of 2015, and she holds $884,000 on hand. While Ger­rit­son brought in a non-trivial $105,000, she burned through most of it and only has $31,000 in the bank. And while a few minor tea party-friendly groups have endorsed Ger­rit­son, major organizations like the Club For Growth haven’t gotten involved yet. It’s very hard to beat a scandal-free incumbent in a primary, and Ger­rit­son just doesn’t look like she has what it takes to defeat Roby.

However, there’s another level to this primary that could make things a bit more interesting than it seems. Alabama is one several states that will hold its downballot primary the same day as its presidential primary. Normally, incumbents like Roby benefit from this arrangement. Presidential contests tend to draw out more casual voters who don’t care much about the other races on the ballot, and will often just select the incumbent because it’s the name they recognize. 

However, as Roll Call’s Eli Yokley recently noted, there’s a good chance that Ted Cruz and Donald Trump will turn out voters who utterly despise the GOP establishment and will lash out at their incumbents. Cruz and Trump should do well in places like Alabama especially: In 2012, Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich took a combined 64 percent of the vote while Mitt Romney only won 29 percent.

But in the words of Dr. Horrible, sometimes there's a third, even deeper level, and that one is the same as the top surface one. Even in this caffeinated age, most tea party candidates still fail to unseat establishment Republicans, especially without any major outside help. While ultra conservatives across the country will try to replicate Dave Brat’s victory over Cantor, Cantor was the only congressional Republican to lose renomination to a tea partier last cycle. Most Republicans have learned to take their primaries seriously, and they’re often very good about portraying themselves as solid conservatives who are fighting the good fight against liberals.

Ultimately, it’s very difficult to see Ger­rit­son prevailing on March 1, at least without help from well-funded groups like the Club for Growth. But this contest is worth keeping an eye on just in case. Roby is a bit of a canary in a coalmine. If she wins without much trouble, it’ll be a good indication that the crazy presidential primary isn’t about to cost GOP incumbents renomination. But if Roby has an unexpectedly tough time or even loses, a lot of Republican congressmen are going to get nervous very fast.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/01/22/1473727/-Are-GOP-incumbent...

[DE]

DV There is a younger Naval Captain running a primary challenge to Shelby....His name is Jonathan McConnell and I pray that he wins...Shelby is an ex democrat and does nothing for the Conservative cause...We need rid of him....Sessions is the best senator any state could ever have ..even tho he  and Cruz are not liked in the senate..they are friends. ...both have fought for we the people and both are grass roots all the way...the deal maker establishment senators  do not like these 2 mavericks of the grass roots...I pray that Ted wins the nomination and that the conservative is HUGE for Cruz...:)

[DE]

Order by Date

Alabama	primaries	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
Alaska	Republican caucuses Democratic caucuses	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016 Saturday, March 26th, 2016
Arizona	primaries	Tuesday, March 22nd, 2016
Arkansas	primaries	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
California	primaries	Tuesday, June 7th, 2016
Colorado	caucuses	(date undetermined)
Connecticut	primaries	Tuesday, April 26th, 2016
Delaware	primaries	Tuesday, April 26th, 2016
Florida	primaries	Tuesday, March 15th, 2016
Georgia	primaries	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
Hawaii	Republican caucuses Democratic caucuses	Tuesday, March 8th, 2016 Saturday, March 26th, 2016
Idaho	Republican primaries Democratic caucuses	Tuesday, March 8th, 2016 Tuesday, March 22nd, 2016
Illinois	primaries	Tuesday, March 15th, 2016
Indiana	primaries	Tuesday, May 3rd, 2016
Iowa	caucuses	Monday, February 1st, 2016
Kansas	caucuses	Saturday, March 5th, 2016
Kentucky	Republican caucuses Democratic primaries	Saturday, March 5th, 2016 Tuesday, May 17th, 2016
Louisiana	primaries	Saturday, March 5th, 2016
Maine	Republican caucuses Democratic caucuses	Saturday, March 5th, 2016 Sunday, March 6th, 2016
Maryland	primaries	Tuesday, April 26th, 2016
Massachusetts	primaries	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
Michigan	primaries	Tuesday, March 8th, 2016
Minnesota	caucuses	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
Mississippi	primaries	Tuesday, March 8th, 2016
Missouri	primaries	Tuesday, March 15th, 2016
Montana	primaries	Tuesday, June 7th, 2016
Nebraska	Republican primaries Democratic caucuses	Tuesday, May 10th, 2016 Saturday, March 5th, 2016
Nevada	Democratic caucuses Republican caucuses	Saturday, February 20th, 2016 Tuesday, February 23rd, 2016
New Hampshire	primaries	Tuesday, February 9th, 2016
New Jersey	primaries	Tuesday, June 7th, 2016
New Mexico	primaries	Tuesday, June 7th, 2016
New York	primaries	Tuesday, April 19th, 2016
North Carolina	primaries	Tuesday, March 15th, 2016
North Dakota	Democratic caucuses Republican caucuses	Tuesday, June 7th, 2016 (date undetermined)
Ohio	primaries	Tuesday, March 15th, 2016
Oklahoma	primaries	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
Oregon	primaries	Tuesday, May 17th, 2016
Pennsylvania	primaries	Tuesday, April 26th, 2016
Rhode Island	primaries	Tuesday, April 26th, 2016
South Carolina	Democratic primaries Republican primaries	Saturday, February 27th, 2016 (tentative) Saturday, February 20th, 2016 (tentative)
South Dakota	primaries	Tuesday, June 7th, 2016
Tennessee	primaries	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
Texas	primaries	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
Utah	caucuses	Tuesday, March 22nd, 2016
Vermont	primaries	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
Virginia	primaries	Tuesday, March 1st, 2016
Washington	Republican primaries Democratic caucuses	Tuesday, May 24th, 2016 Saturday, March 26th, 2016
West Virginia	primaries	Tuesday, May 10th, 2016
Wisconsin	primaries	Tuesday, April 5th, 2016
Wyoming	Republican caucuses Democratic caucuses	(date undetermined) Saturday, April 9th,

[DE]

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

in Politics

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Friday, January 22, 2016

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Obama's job performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove (see trends).

The latest figures include 27% who Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president and 39% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -12.

Regular updates are posted Monday through Friday at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

A record high 74% of Republican voters think Donald Trump is likely to be their party’s presidential nominee this year. Rasmussen Reports will update its weekly Trump Change numbers at 10:30 a.m. Eastern today.

Does Sarah Palin’s endorsement help or hurt Trump’s candidacy? 

Despite the budding bromance between Trump and Vladimir Putin, Rasmussen Reports polling suggests that more bad news about the Russian leader isn’t likely to translate into more bad news for the GOP front-runner.

Bernie Sanders appears to be picking up momentum in the race for the Democratic president nomination, and one of his key issues is income inequality in America. But unlike Sanders, most voters still think less government involvement in the economy rather than more is a be....

A government screw-up seems to be the primary reason for the lead-contaminated drinking water crisis in Flint Michigan. But only 20% of Americans think their state or locality does not do eno....

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_admin...

[DE]

	7th Republican Debate
	February 6th, 2016   |   Manchester, New Hampshire

8th Republican Debate       February 13th, 2016 South Carolina

9th Republican Debate       February 26th, 2016   |   Houston, Texas

10th Republican Debate       March 1st, 2016 Location to be determined

11th Republican Debate       March 10th, 2016 Florida

[DE]

IOWA CAUCUS .........MONDAY FEB 1st

NEW HAMPSHIRE,,,,,,TUESDAY FEB 9th

SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARY.........FEB 20th

NEVADA CAUCUSES ............TUESDAY FEB 23rd

click on your state already listed above and get all details of your states etc....