Citizens Dedicated To Preserving Our Constitutional Republic
The RNC is preparing a brokered convention...to not allow Marco Rubio to win...They will bring in an establishment candidate to give it to that candidate...What can be done about that..We know it will be Jeb or Rubio..They can do this because of the ways that they have structured the riles...this is incredible.. the pick at a brokered convention never wins..they said FDR was the last to ever win a brokered convention.What they are really doing is saying they had rather elect Hillary than have Trump win............I AM TOO DISGUSTED FOR WORDS
UPDATE:
The big winner in Iowa’s Republican caucuses on Monday night might not have been Ted Cruz. It may have been a nominating process that fails to yield a clear winner. A clear winner being a candidate who goes to Cleveland this summer with the presidential nomination in hand.
At the end of Monday night, which count really mattered? Delegates acquired. As of this writing, Cruz has bagged eight delegates, Trump and Rubio, seven each, with four other delegates going to also-rans.
Raw vote totals are what most folk tend to watch and weigh. But in 2016, it pays to more closely follow the candidates’ delegate totals. Thanks to the Republican National Committee (RNC), caucuses and primaries held prior to mid-March mandate proportional distribution of delegates based on candidates’ vote totals in given contests. Most early caucuses and primaries impose threshold minimums to win delegates (say, Alabama, with a 20% threshold).
Prior to Mid-March, 25 States, along with DC, Guam, and Puerto Rico, will hold proportional contests. That accounts for 1,022 bound delegates (“bound” being delegates committed to a candidate for the first vote). 45% of the bound delegates will be picked proportionally or in “hybrid” formats, which include triggering provisions for larger delegate yields for candidates who meet higher vote percentage thresholds. There are WTA (winner-take-all) thresholds, but those will be quite difficult to achieve.
Starting with Super Tuesday, March 15, most of the remaining states have opted to hold winner-take-all contests, though a handful will continue to make proportional distributions. From mid-March forward, 1,238 bound delegates will be chosen (Colorado’s delegates declare at convention).
The number of delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination is 1,237. There are a number of unbound (3 per state) and unpledged delegates. The unpledged delegates are mostly establishment picks who would factor in at a deadlocked convention.
Short of a breakout by one the major contenders (Trump, Cruz, and Rubio), it’s not hard to imagine a scenario where the proportional phase of the nominating process yields tightly packed delegate counts among the three. Complicating matters is if new life is breathed into the Carson, Kasich, or Christe campaigns (as improbable as that appears).
But, say you, won’t the nomination fight be resolved with Super Tuesday and the subsequent contests?
That could happen, but consider this prospect. Cruz, Rubio, and Trump take roughly a third each of the delegates in the proportional phase. For illustration, say, 340 delegates per man. That means in the winner-take-all phase, one of the principals would need to capture 897 of the available 1,238 bound delegates to win. That’s about 73% of the total or three out of every four delegates. Possible, but how likely? This assumes, too, that the principals are competitive with one another, affording each the chance to pick off states.
Cruz, Trump, and Rubio have the resources to stay the course. Trump is self-funding. Cruz’s fundraising operation is already solid and benefits all the more from his Iowa win. Rubio’s stronger than anticipated finish in Iowa boosts his fundraising. And as Rubio consolidates establishment voters -- as he began doing in Iowa -- and lesser establishment candidates drop out, expect a significant upswing in his campaign’s financial fortunes.
Writes Michael Snyder at “Before It’s News”:
[I]f no candidate is able to secure enough delegates, that means that we would end up with a “brokered convention”. The mechanics of a brokered convention can get quite complicated, but on a practical level what that would essentially mean is that the party establishment would get to hand select the nominee. And in case you are wondering, that would not be Donald Trump or Ted Cruz.
Snyder’s assessment is flawed in a couple of respects (though not his conclusion about the candidates).
“Deadlocked” versus a “brokered” convention, the more accurate designation is “deadlocked.” A brokered convention suggests that party bosses call the shots nearly exclusively. The party boss era in American politics is long past.
Though unpledged delegates -- who are likely establishment recruits -- will play a critical role at a deadlocked convention, it’s important to remember that bound delegates are only committed to their candidates on the first ballot.
Thereafter, they’re unbound. Candidates’ and, perhaps, dark horses’ (yes, a draft is possible) primary focus for vote gathering will be among all those plentiful unbound state delegates. If the convention deadlocks, it’s going to be the Wild West, with plenty of wheeling and dealing, barroom brawls, shoot-outs, shenanigans, and backroom deals. But all that will occur across delegations and not just among the establishment few.
Snyder’s guess that the nominee won’t be named “Cruz” or “Trump” should a deadlock occur is reasonable. Deadlocked conventions -- if past brokered conventions are any guide -- tend to nominee candidates who at least appear more centrist or moderate. At a deadlocked 2016 Cleveland affair, the buzz word may be “electable.” Right now, Marco Rubio seems to fit the bill. As Snyder pointed out in his article, that’s not an endorsement; it’s merely an observation.
If the Republican field narrows to two principal candidates, then the chances for a deadlocked convention melt away. But if, as anticipated, Cruz, Trump, and Rubio (and possibly one or two others) remain in the race, then a deadlocked convention moves from “maybe” to “probable” with each passing primary, caucus, and state convention. The Republican presidential nominee who emerges will have done so after the fight of his political life – and ours.
The big winner in Iowa’s Republican caucuses on Monday night might not have been Ted Cruz. It may have been a nominating process that fails to yield a clear winner. A clear winner being a candidate who goes to Cleveland this summer with the presidential nomination in hand.
At the end of Monday night, which count really mattered? Delegates acquired. As of this writing, Cruz has bagged eight delegates, Trump and Rubio, seven each, with four other delegates going to also-rans.
Raw vote totals are what most folk tend to watch and weigh. But in 2016, it pays to more closely follow the candidates’ delegate totals. Thanks to the Republican National Committee (RNC), caucuses and primaries held prior to mid-March mandate proportional distribution of delegates based on candidates’ vote totals in given contests. Most early caucuses and primaries impose threshold minimums to win delegates (say, Alabama, with a 20% threshold).
Prior to Mid-March, 25 States, along with DC, Guam, and Puerto Rico, will hold proportional contests. That accounts for 1,022 bound delegates (“bound” being delegates committed to a candidate for the first vote). 45% of the bound delegates will be picked proportionally or in “hybrid” formats, which include triggering provisions for larger delegate yields for candidates who meet higher vote percentage thresholds. There are WTA (winner-take-all) thresholds, but those will be quite difficult to achieve.
Starting with Super Tuesday, March 15, most of the remaining states have opted to hold winner-take-all contests, though a handful will continue to make proportional distributions. From mid-March forward, 1,238 bound delegates will be chosen (Colorado’s delegates declare at convention).
The number of delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination is 1,237. There are a number of unbound (3 per state) and unpledged delegates. The unpledged delegates are mostly establishment picks who would factor in at a deadlocked convention.
Short of a breakout by one the major contenders (Trump, Cruz, and Rubio), it’s not hard to imagine a scenario where the proportional phase of the nominating process yields tightly packed delegate counts among the three. Complicating matters is if new life is breathed into the Carson, Kasich, or Christe campaigns (as improbable as that appears).
But, say you, won’t the nomination fight be resolved with Super Tuesday and the subsequent contests?
That could happen, but consider this prospect. Cruz, Rubio, and Trump take roughly a third each of the delegates in the proportional phase. For illustration, say, 340 delegates per man. That means in the winner-take-all phase, one of the principals would need to capture 897 of the available 1,238 bound delegates to win. That’s about 73% of the total or three out of every four delegates. Possible, but how likely? This assumes, too, that the principals are competitive with one another, affording each the chance to pick off states.
Cruz, Trump, and Rubio have the resources to stay the course. Trump is self-funding. Cruz’s fundraising operation is already solid and benefits all the more from his Iowa win. Rubio’s stronger than anticipated finish in Iowa boosts his fundraising. And as Rubio consolidates establishment voters -- as he began doing in Iowa -- and lesser establishment candidates drop out, expect a significant upswing in his campaign’s financial fortunes.
Writes Michael Snyder at “Before It’s News”:
[I]f no candidate is able to secure enough delegates, that means that we would end up with a “brokered convention”. The mechanics of a brokered convention can get quite complicated, but on a practical level what that would essentially mean is that the party establishment would get to hand select the nominee. And in case you are wondering, that would not be Donald Trump or Ted Cruz.
Snyder’s assessment is flawed in a couple of respects (though not his conclusion about the candidates).
“Deadlocked” versus a “brokered” convention, the more accurate designation is “deadlocked.” A brokered convention suggests that party bosses call the shots nearly exclusively. The party boss era in American politics is long past.
Though unpledged delegates -- who are likely establishment recruits -- will play a critical role at a deadlocked convention, it’s important to remember that bound delegates are only committed to their candidates on the first ballot.
Thereafter, they’re unbound. Candidates’ and, perhaps, dark horses’ (yes, a draft is possible) primary focus for vote gathering will be among all those plentiful unbound state delegates. If the convention deadlocks, it’s going to be the Wild West, with plenty of wheeling and dealing, barroom brawls, shoot-outs, shenanigans, and backroom deals. But all that will occur across delegations and not just among the establishment few.
Snyder’s guess that the nominee won’t be named “Cruz” or “Trump” should a deadlock occur is reasonable. Deadlocked conventions -- if past brokered conventions are any guide -- tend to nominee candidates who at least appear more centrist or moderate. At a deadlocked 2016 Cleveland affair, the buzz word may be “electable.” Right now, Marco Rubio seems to fit the bill. As Snyder pointed out in his article, that’s not an endorsement; it’s merely an observation.
If the Republican field narrows to two principal candidates, then the chances for a deadlocked convention melt away. But if, as anticipated, Cruz, Trump, and Rubio (and possibly one or two others) remain in the race, then a deadlocked convention moves from “maybe” to “probable” with each passing primary, caucus, and state convention. The Republican presidential nominee who emerges will have done so after the fight of his political life – and ours.
Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2016/02/cleveland_cliffhang...
Follow us: @AmericanThinker on Twitter | AmericanThinker on Facebook
Tags:
you take that same group of republicans without the presence of Cruz there you would get completely different answers. Most people do not like to be confrontational with people they don't personally know or do not hate. Meanless exercise.
Denninger weighs in on TC.
http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=231043
I am seeing much more support of Trump among libertarians which have almost discounted the ENTIRE political class as damaged goods and I am one of them.
Could be they see Trump as big FU vote with the bonus of actually salvaging something out of this.
Here is a view of this situation , by a good Black conservative Brother. Proud to have him as a conservative Patriot......
Cruz says thar the Militia is wrong. And needs to leave. ..That figures to me.
Rand Paul says Donald Trump is a “fake conservative,” though he won’t say the same about Trump’s newest backer Sarah Palin.
by Breitbart News20 Jan 2016, 4:50 AM PST308
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said that as a businessman “I’d give to everybody” when he gave to the Clinton Foundation “I assumed it was being put to good use” and that the Clintons “never really did anything for me”
by Ian Hanchett19 Jan 2016, 6:54 PM PST277
The battle between Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Donald Trump has now divided insurgent Republicans into two camps: those who prize conservative values over all else, and those who prize slapping the establishment over all else. That, in essence, is the dividing line between the two candidates.
by Ben Shapiro19 Jan 2016, 6:49 PM PST1,636
Paige Lavender writes in the Huffington Post of former Alaska governor Sarah Palin’s endorsement of GOP presidential frontrunner Donald Trump in an article linked on their homepage under the headline “Confederacy of Dunces.”
by Breitbart News19 Jan 2016, 6:30 PM PST685
Republican presidential candidate Sen. Rand Paul went after rival Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) by questioning his conservative authenticity.
by Michelle Fields19 Jan 2016, 6:01 PM PST355
Glenn Beck lit into former Alaska governor Sarah Palin after her endorsement today of GOP presidential frontrunner Donald Trump. The radio host then announced that he would be joining Sen. Ted Cruz this weekend for a campaign rally in Waterloo, Iowa.
by Breitbart News19 Jan 2016, 5:59 PM PST5,459
Talk radio host Mark Levin said that the Drudge Report and Breitbart “have put their finger on the scales, I believe, for Trump” on Tuesday. Levin began by stating that “30 days ago, [GOP presidential candidate Sen.] Ted Cruz (R-TX)
by Ian Hanchett19 Jan 2016, 5:23 PM PST3,646
Tuesday on Bloomberg’s “With All Due Respect” broadcasted on MSNBC, network regular Jonathan Alter, author of “The Center Holds,” said if Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, wins Iowa, which he described as a very religious state, his campaign will indeed have a
Columnist Charles Krauthammer stated the fact that Democratic presidential candidate former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s emails contained SAP information is “worse than what Snowden did” according to some he’s talked to, and Hillary had information that “if it’s compromised,
by Ian Hanchett19 Jan 2016, 5:20 PM PST947
Braden Joplin, a campaign volunteer for presidential candidate Ben Carson, has died after a car crash in Iowa Tuesday.
by Michelle Fields19 Jan 2016, 5:12 PM PST83
Tuesday on his radio show, talk show host Michael Savage reacted to the news that former Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK) would be endorsing Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump at a rally in Ames, IA. Savage was not complimentary of Trump
Republican presidential frontrunner said Tuesday that he is “100%” in favor of moving the U.S. embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem–a reversal from his position in December. Trump announced his new position on the simmering controversy in an exclusive interview
by Joel B. Pollak19 Jan 2016, 4:43 PM PST60
California Governor Jerry Brown reiterated Tuesday that despite Hillary Clinton’s collapse in the polls, and the new revelations in her ongoing e-mail scandal, he has no intention of entering the 2016 presidential campaign.
by Joel B. Pollak19 Jan 2016, 4:14 PM PST18
In an effort to highlight Sen. Marco Rubio’s generational appeal, the campaign has launched a new group of Millennials who are declaring their support for the Florida Senator.
by Charlie Spiering20 Jan 2016, 6:34 AM PST1
In an interview with BuzzFeed, Ted Cruz says Donald Trump represents crony capitalism:
by Breitbart News20 Jan 2016, 6:14 AM PST6
Juanita Broaddrick says that an NBC staffer present for the 1999 filming rushed in front of the camera, interrupted the prerecorded session, and declared that the allegations against Hillary Clinton could not be included in the interview.
by Aaron Klein20 Jan 2016, 6:10 AM PST0
The old lions of the conservative moment—leaders with direct ties to the 1960 signing of the Sharon Statement by 90 members of Young Americans for Freedom (YAF) at William F. Buckley’s residence—are uniting around the presidential campaign of Sen. Ted Cruz with passionate endorsements of his candidacy.
by Michael Patrick Leahy20 Jan 2016, 6:05 AM PST5
As socialist Bernie Sanders surges to a tie in Iowa and a massive +27 point lead in New Hampshire, David Brock, founder of the left-wing propaganda site Media Matters, and a key Hillary Clinton ally, gave us a preview of
by John Nolte20 Jan 2016, 5:59 AM PST7
According to a just-released poll from Florida Atlantic University broadcast on MSNBC, in a 12 person Republican primary, Donald Trump is blowing the pack away in Florida with an incredible +32 point lead. The billionaire businessman currently enjoys 48% support
by John Nolte20 Jan 2016, 5:27 AM PST671
Rand Paul says Donald Trump is a “fake conservative,” though he won’t say the same about Trump’s newest backer Sarah Palin.
by Breitbart News20 Jan 2016, 4:50 AM PST308
The Democratic National Committee (DNC) has conceded that the GOP is now the party of Donald Trump.
by Patrick Howley19 Jan 2016, 10:02 PM PST49
The pro-Hillary Clinton super PAC Priorities USA officially responded to Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Donald Trump by releasing a graphic of a smiley face pointing and laughing.
by Patrick Howley19 Jan 2016, 9:44 PM PST15
AMES, Iowa — 2016 GOP frontrunner billionaire Donald Trump won the coveted endorsement of former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin—the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee—here at Iowa State University on Tuesday.
by Matthew Boyle19 Jan 2016, 9:00 PM PST5,603
Insurgent Democratic candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders has opened up a 27-point lead over Hillary Clinton in the state of New Hampshire, which will hold the nation’s first primary contest on February 9.
by Patrick Howley19 Jan 2016, 8:31 PM PST145
On Tuesday’s broadcast of Hugh Hewitt’s radio show, Washington Post columnist George Will discussed the prospects of a contest between Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump and Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton. Will speculated that a good number of Democrats would
Democratic presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) declared that he was “very proud to have received recently, the endorsement of MoveOn.org” on Tuesday’s “Rachel Maddow Show” on MSNBC. Sanders said, in response to a question on some of the endorsements
by Ian Hanchett19 Jan 2016, 7:27 PM PST148
Mercy..I thought it said moron.org......;)
Read more: http://therightscoop.com/#ixzz3xnWTpRtK
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Legislative News
Congressional Quarterly
C-SPAN
Roll Call
Stateline.org
The Hill
Washington Post
Politics Section
Boston Globe
Dallas News
Denver Post
Los Angeles Times
Minneapolis Star Tribune
Stop Island Park Wildlife Overpasses
Seattle Times
NY Times
Washington Post
Washington Times
USA Today
Beltway Buzz
CQ Politics
First Read
The Hotline
The Note
The Page
Washington Wire
Mike Allen's Playbook
Politico
Roll Call
The Hill
CNN Political Ticker
The Swamp
The Fix
Washington Whispers
Fish Bowl DC
Online Political Sites
Alternative Press Index
Capitol Hill Blue
CommonDreams.org
Digg.com Politics
Drudge Report
Political Insider
Political Wire
Politico
PopPolitics
Real Clear Politics
Salon.com
Slate
Stateline.org
TCOT Report
TomPaine.com
US Politics Guide
© 2024 Created by WTPUSA. Powered by