REPUBLICAN LEADERS ...RNC AND FOX NEWS ARE PLANNING A BROKERED OR CONTESTED CONVENTION ELECTION 2016NEWS AND UPDATES...etc etc

[DE]

The RNC is preparing a brokered convention...to not allow Marco Rubio to win...They will bring in an establishment candidate to give it to that candidate...What can be done  about that..We know it will be Jeb or Rubio..They can do this  because of the ways that they have structured the riles...this is incredible.. the pick at a brokered convention never wins..they said FDR was the last to ever win a brokered convention.What they are really doing is saying they had rather elect Hillary than have Trump win............I AM TOO DISGUSTED FOR WORDS

UPDATE:

Cleveland Cliffhanger? Prospects of a Deadlocked GOP Convention

By J. Robert Smith

The big winner in Iowa’s Republican caucuses on Monday night might not have been Ted Cruz.  It may have been a nominating process that fails to yield a clear winner.  A clear winner being a candidate who goes to Cleveland this summer with the presidential nomination in hand.    

At the end of Monday night, which count really mattered?  Delegates acquired.  As of this writing, Cruz has bagged eight delegates, Trump and Rubio, seven each, with four other delegates going to also-rans. 

Raw vote totals are what most folk tend to watch and weigh.  But in 2016, it pays to more closely follow the candidates’ delegate totals.  Thanks to the Republican National Committee (RNC), caucuses and primaries held prior to mid-March mandate proportional distribution of delegates based on candidates’ vote totals in given contests.  Most early caucuses and primaries impose threshold minimums to win delegates (say, Alabama, with a 20% threshold). 

Prior to Mid-March, 25 States, along with DC, Guam, and Puerto Rico, will hold proportional contests.  That accounts for 1,022 bound delegates (“bound” being delegates committed to a candidate for the first vote).  45% of the bound delegates will be picked proportionally or in “hybrid” formats, which include triggering provisions for larger delegate yields for candidates who meet higher vote percentage thresholds.  There are WTA (winner-take-all) thresholds, but those will be quite difficult to achieve.          

Starting with Super Tuesday, March 15, most of the remaining states have opted to hold winner-take-all contests, though a handful will continue to make proportional distributions.  From mid-March forward, 1,238 bound delegates will be chosen (Colorado’s delegates declare at convention). 

The number of delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination is 1,237.  There are a number of unbound (3 per state) and unpledged delegates.  The unpledged delegates are mostly establishment picks who would factor in at a deadlocked convention.  

Short of a breakout by one the major contenders (Trump, Cruz, and Rubio), it’s not hard to imagine a scenario where the proportional phase of the nominating process yields tightly packed delegate counts among the three.  Complicating matters is if new life is breathed into the Carson, Kasich, or Christe campaigns (as improbable as that appears).

But, say you, won’t the nomination fight be resolved with Super Tuesday and the subsequent contests? 

That could happen, but consider this prospect.  Cruz, Rubio, and Trump take roughly a third each of the delegates in the proportional phase.  For illustration, say, 340 delegates per man.  That means in the winner-take-all phase, one of the principals would need to capture 897 of the available 1,238 bound delegates to win.  That’s about 73% of the total or three out of every four delegates. Possible, but how likely?  This assumes, too, that the principals are competitive with one another, affording each the chance to pick off states.

Cruz, Trump, and Rubio have the resources to stay the course.  Trump is self-funding.  Cruz’s fundraising operation is already solid and benefits all the more from his Iowa win.  Rubio’s stronger than anticipated finish in Iowa boosts his fundraising.  And as Rubio consolidates establishment voters -- as he began doing in Iowa -- and lesser establishment candidates drop out, expect a significant upswing in his campaign’s financial fortunes.  

Writes Michael Snyder at “Before It’s News”: 

[I]f no candidate is able to secure enough delegates, that means that we would end up with a “brokered convention”. The mechanics of a brokered convention can get quite complicated, but on a practical level what that would essentially mean is that the party establishment would get to hand select the nominee. And in case you are wondering, that would not be Donald Trump or Ted Cruz. 

                               

Snyder’s assessment is flawed in a couple of respects (though not his conclusion about the candidates). 

“Deadlocked” versus a “brokered” convention, the more accurate designation is “deadlocked.”  A brokered convention suggests that party bosses call the shots nearly exclusively.  The party boss era in American politics is long past.

Though unpledged delegates -- who are likely establishment recruits -- will play a critical role at a deadlocked convention, it’s important to remember that bound delegates are only committed to their candidates on the first ballot. 

Thereafter, they’re unbound.  Candidates’ and, perhaps, dark horses’ (yes, a draft is possible) primary focus for vote gathering will be among all those plentiful unbound state delegates.  If the convention deadlocks, it’s going to be the Wild West, with plenty of wheeling and dealing, barroom brawls, shoot-outs, shenanigans, and backroom deals.  But all that will occur across delegations and not just among the establishment few.

Snyder’s guess that the nominee won’t be named “Cruz” or “Trump” should a deadlock occur is reasonable.  Deadlocked conventions -- if past brokered conventions are any guide -- tend to nominee candidates who at least appear more centrist or moderate.  At a deadlocked 2016 Cleveland affair, the buzz word may be “electable.”  Right now, Marco Rubio seems to fit the bill.  As Snyder pointed out in his article, that’s not an endorsement; it’s merely an observation.

If the Republican field narrows to two principal candidates, then the chances for a deadlocked convention melt away.  But if, as anticipated, Cruz, Trump, and Rubio (and possibly one or two others) remain in the race, then a deadlocked convention moves from “maybe” to “probable” with each passing primary, caucus, and state convention.  The Republican presidential nominee who emerges will have done so after the fight of his political life – and ours.  

The big winner in Iowa’s Republican caucuses on Monday night might not have been Ted Cruz.  It may have been a nominating process that fails to yield a clear winner.  A clear winner being a candidate who goes to Cleveland this summer with the presidential nomination in hand.    

At the end of Monday night, which count really mattered?  Delegates acquired.  As of this writing, Cruz has bagged eight delegates, Trump and Rubio, seven each, with four other delegates going to also-rans. 

Raw vote totals are what most folk tend to watch and weigh.  But in 2016, it pays to more closely follow the candidates’ delegate totals.  Thanks to the Republican National Committee (RNC), caucuses and primaries held prior to mid-March mandate proportional distribution of delegates based on candidates’ vote totals in given contests.  Most early caucuses and primaries impose threshold minimums to win delegates (say, Alabama, with a 20% threshold). 

Prior to Mid-March, 25 States, along with DC, Guam, and Puerto Rico, will hold proportional contests.  That accounts for 1,022 bound delegates (“bound” being delegates committed to a candidate for the first vote).  45% of the bound delegates will be picked proportionally or in “hybrid” formats, which include triggering provisions for larger delegate yields for candidates who meet higher vote percentage thresholds.  There are WTA (winner-take-all) thresholds, but those will be quite difficult to achieve.          

Starting with Super Tuesday, March 15, most of the remaining states have opted to hold winner-take-all contests, though a handful will continue to make proportional distributions.  From mid-March forward, 1,238 bound delegates will be chosen (Colorado’s delegates declare at convention). 

The number of delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination is 1,237.  There are a number of unbound (3 per state) and unpledged delegates.  The unpledged delegates are mostly establishment picks who would factor in at a deadlocked convention.  

Short of a breakout by one the major contenders (Trump, Cruz, and Rubio), it’s not hard to imagine a scenario where the proportional phase of the nominating process yields tightly packed delegate counts among the three.  Complicating matters is if new life is breathed into the Carson, Kasich, or Christe campaigns (as improbable as that appears).

But, say you, won’t the nomination fight be resolved with Super Tuesday and the subsequent contests? 

That could happen, but consider this prospect.  Cruz, Rubio, and Trump take roughly a third each of the delegates in the proportional phase.  For illustration, say, 340 delegates per man.  That means in the winner-take-all phase, one of the principals would need to capture 897 of the available 1,238 bound delegates to win.  That’s about 73% of the total or three out of every four delegates. Possible, but how likely?  This assumes, too, that the principals are competitive with one another, affording each the chance to pick off states.

Cruz, Trump, and Rubio have the resources to stay the course.  Trump is self-funding.  Cruz’s fundraising operation is already solid and benefits all the more from his Iowa win.  Rubio’s stronger than anticipated finish in Iowa boosts his fundraising.  And as Rubio consolidates establishment voters -- as he began doing in Iowa -- and lesser establishment candidates drop out, expect a significant upswing in his campaign’s financial fortunes.  

Writes Michael Snyder at “Before It’s News”: 

[I]f no candidate is able to secure enough delegates, that means that we would end up with a “brokered convention”. The mechanics of a brokered convention can get quite complicated, but on a practical level what that would essentially mean is that the party establishment would get to hand select the nominee. And in case you are wondering, that would not be Donald Trump or Ted Cruz. 

                               

Snyder’s assessment is flawed in a couple of respects (though not his conclusion about the candidates). 

“Deadlocked” versus a “brokered” convention, the more accurate designation is “deadlocked.”  A brokered convention suggests that party bosses call the shots nearly exclusively.  The party boss era in American politics is long past.

Though unpledged delegates -- who are likely establishment recruits -- will play a critical role at a deadlocked convention, it’s important to remember that bound delegates are only committed to their candidates on the first ballot. 

Thereafter, they’re unbound.  Candidates’ and, perhaps, dark horses’ (yes, a draft is possible) primary focus for vote gathering will be among all those plentiful unbound state delegates.  If the convention deadlocks, it’s going to be the Wild West, with plenty of wheeling and dealing, barroom brawls, shoot-outs, shenanigans, and backroom deals.  But all that will occur across delegations and not just among the establishment few.

Snyder’s guess that the nominee won’t be named “Cruz” or “Trump” should a deadlock occur is reasonable.  Deadlocked conventions -- if past brokered conventions are any guide -- tend to nominee candidates who at least appear more centrist or moderate.  At a deadlocked 2016 Cleveland affair, the buzz word may be “electable.”  Right now, Marco Rubio seems to fit the bill.  As Snyder pointed out in his article, that’s not an endorsement; it’s merely an observation.

If the Republican field narrows to two principal candidates, then the chances for a deadlocked convention melt away.  But if, as anticipated, Cruz, Trump, and Rubio (and possibly one or two others) remain in the race, then a deadlocked convention moves from “maybe” to “probable” with each passing primary, caucus, and state convention.  The Republican presidential nominee who emerges will have done so after the fight of his political life – and ours.  

Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2016/02/cleveland_cliffhang...
Follow us: @AmericanThinker on Twitter | AmericanThinker on Facebook

[DE]

Cruz: Media, Establishment’s ‘Chosen One’ Rubio Is Unelectable Like...

At a Thursday event in Weare, New Hampshire, presidential candidate Sen. Ted Cruz labeled opposing candidate Sen. Marco Rubio as the media-anointed “chosen one” for the GOP establishment but ultimately unelectable like prior failed nominees.

by Michelle Moons5 Feb 2016, 4:54 AM PST0

Former Carson Chief: ‘Any Hope Cruz Had of Getting Ben’s Voters Is ...

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by Breitbart News5 Feb 2016, 4:47 AM PST0

CNN: Cruz Scrambles for Libertarian Vote in New Hampshire

Ted Cruz isn’t in Iowa anymore.

by Breitbart News5 Feb 2016, 4:40 AM PST1

Bush/Christie: Rubio the New Obama

Nolan D. McCaskill writes in Politico: “Jeb Bush and Chris Christie have a message for New Hampshire’s Republican voters: Marco Rubio would be President Barack Obama all over again.”

by Breitbart News4 Feb 2016, 11:41 PM PST1

Christie Flips Santorum’s Endorsement of ‘Potential’ Rubio Into An ...

Governor Chris Christie posted an online attack-ad built on former Senator Rick Santorum’s inability to name a single accomplishment of Sen. Marco Rubio in the U.S. Senate.

by Austin Ruse4 Feb 2016, 9:23 PM PST12

Fournier: Hillary’s Email Defense Is ‘Wrong In At Least Three Point...

National Journal Senior Political Columnist Ron Fournier argued that Democratic presidential candidate former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s explanation for her emails and private server “was wrong in at least three points” and that “she’s got to know all three of those

by Ian Hanchett4 Feb 2016, 9:06 PM PST131

CNN’s Foreman: ‘Simply False’ To Say Wall Street Is Out To Get Hill...

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by Ian Hanchett4 Feb 2016, 9:02 PM PST0

Hillary Clinton Admits Young People Do ‘Not Support Me Now’

Hillary Clinton admitted during MSNBC’s Democratic debate on Thursday night that she doesn’t have the support of young people.

by Dr. Susan Berry4 Feb 2016, 8:49 PM PST9

Marco Rubio’s 7 Top Achievements in U.S. Senate

Following Rick Santorum’s inability to name a single achievement of Sen. Marco Rubio, the media sought to answer the question for themselves. Yet many reporters appear to have come up empty handed.

by Julia Hahn4 Feb 2016, 8:46 PM PST716

National Journal: Luntz Fails to Disclose Rubio Connection

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by Breitbart News4 Feb 2016, 7:43 PM PST1,471

Hillary Clinton Hits Bernie Sanders’ Pitch as ‘Artful Smear’

Sen. Bernie Sanders got pushback from Hillary Clinton when he again framed her as an establishment candidate, a friend to Wall Street, and the recipient of speaking fees for Wall Street firms, during the MSNBC Feb. 4 debate.

by Dr. Susan Berry4 Feb 2016, 7:31 PM PST9

Hillary Touts Advising the President on Russia, Admits Russia Is Tr...

Democratic presidential candidate former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton touted “exercising my judgment to advise the president on what to do…on Russia” but admitted that Russia “is trying to move the boundaries of the post-World War II Europe” and their

by Ian Hanchett4 Feb 2016, 7:27 PM PST6

Hillary Rips Wall Street While Raking in Their Money

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by William Bigelow4 Feb 2016, 7:26 PM PST8

Sanders: ‘The Business Model of Wall Street Is Fraud’

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by Pam Key4 Feb 2016, 7:21 PM PST133

Hillary: ‘I Will Look Into’ Releasing Transcripts of Paid Speeches ...

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Thursday on MSNBC’s Democratic presidential primary debate, candidate Hillary Clinton was booed by the audience when she told her opponent Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) “to end the artful smear that you and your campaign have been carrying out in recent

by Pam Key4 Feb 2016, 6:59 PM PST1,430

[M]

Think about this scenario;

GOP holds directed convention and blocks trump from the endorsement. Trump decides to make a third party run.

Bloomberg disgusted with Hillary and afraid of what Sanders would do to his fortune if elected decides to form a third party run.

Sanders is shut out from the Democratic nomination by conniving by the DNC to give it to Hillary.

Sanders then makes a third party run. 

Do you think the GOP would be able to get their nominee (at this point Cruz) elected?

Do you think that Trump would be elected?

Do you think Bloomberg would be elected?

Do you think Sanders would be elected?

Do you think Hillary would be elected?

How do you think that scenario as over simplified and ludicrous as it is would play out for the American people?

How much Voter Fraud do you think would happen, and to who's benefit?

What would be the consequences of any of the above being elected, and how would that affect the Congressional runs in the future?

Feel Free to speculate.

[DE]

Mac what would be your best solution to all you laid out....I need clarification...I was about to start posting news but will hold off until you reply....

[M]

DE,

That was just a little member poll to find out what the members think. there are no wrong answers. I want to see what the general trends of the members preferences are, and what they think about the side issues.

[kevin kiernan]

I will give it a shot.  Let me start by saying that Our Country`s problems will not be fixed by agendas of any of these people. It will take a leader who can unite all of us under the umbrella of the Constitution. With that said, I think under said scenario.Trump would win because they will all go towards the one who hits the tone of what their wants are.I do not see any scenario were Ted can win. He will never get any moderate independent to vote for him.He is way to divisive.Hillary can not win from prison.Sanders is the most trust worthy but his social ideas will never work. But what scares me is the masses are so selfishly ignorant that he could surprise in such a field of too many choices.Bloomberg is too communist by way of The I know best syndrome...So if you hold me to the fire for a choice it would be Trump. 

[DE]

Sorry I  thought it was only for me ...I will finish my posting ..the debate is tomorrow evening....

[DE]

Mac..I wasn't thinking   My postings will bury the answers to your poll...I will just post on Tea Party Nation today....:)

[M]

DE,

Don't worry about burying my poll. Just post.

[kevin kiernan]

I just gave this more thought. You left out Marco. This scenario would give the establishment an advantage.Everyone is blowing him off. This has become again an election of the less of evils. Who ever gives the most hope will win. But many will not see false flags of hope that is prevalent through out the whole field..

[M]

Kevin,

Yes I did forget Rubio. But the real problem is realistically we don't have a choice but the lesser of evils at this point. I have been talking myself blue in the face trying to get a coalition together to find and put real choices on all the ballots from Local up to National. No one seems to want to do anything like vetting people for positions in government, nor do they want to do the leg work getting petitions signed that would force the peoples choices on the ballots despite what the party leaders want. Until we come together to force our candidates onto the primary ballots then vote them in, nothing will change in the mix of candidates the party's put forward. All the current candidates in both party's are basically party hacks to some degree. We can't get away from that considering the nature of the beast we let grow.

[kevin kiernan]

M, To many people think electing the right person will solve things. That would be funny if it were not so sad.I am done with politics. Like I have said in the past ,2016 is my last try. I will waist time only trying to get people educated on the real problems. To many do not see it. Their blind ignorance is beyond reason to me.Our young are zombies,and the middle age has no clue ,how to teach their young self reliance with basic skills of life. Our young ,pretty much can not do anything for themselvesin the real world. I have said for 6 years now.( Since joining tea party ) that 2016 is my last election cycle to participate. I suggest that you all prepare for the times ahead. They are going to be worse than most here think.Marshall Law is in our near future.Not enough people believe it. So there is no stopping it.I do not care who you put in The White House.collapse is inevitable Why do you think the government had Jade helm .You can call me crazy, I do not care. Just remember that you were warned.

[M]

Kevin,

It's not just the white house, it's all political positions from Local up to Federal and everything in-between that needs to be cleaned out.