Citizens Dedicated To Preserving Our Constitutional Republic
REPUBLICAN LEADERS ...RNC AND FOX NEWS ARE PLANNING A BROKERED OR CONTESTED CONVENTION ELECTION 2016NEWS AND UPDATES...etc etc
The RNC is preparing a brokered convention...to not allow Marco Rubio to win...They will bring in an establishment candidate to give it to that candidate...What can be done about that..We know it will be Jeb or Rubio..They can do this because of the ways that they have structured the riles...this is incredible.. the pick at a brokered convention never wins..they said FDR was the last to ever win a brokered convention.What they are really doing is saying they had rather elect Hillary than have Trump win............I AM TOO DISGUSTED FOR WORDS
UPDATE:
Cleveland Cliffhanger? Prospects of a Deadlocked GOP Convention
The big winner in Iowa’s Republican caucuses on Monday night might not have been Ted Cruz. It may have been a nominating process that fails to yield a clear winner. A clear winner being a candidate who goes to Cleveland this summer with the presidential nomination in hand.
At the end of Monday night, which count really mattered? Delegates acquired. As of this writing, Cruz has bagged eight delegates, Trump and Rubio, seven each, with four other delegates going to also-rans.
Raw vote totals are what most folk tend to watch and weigh. But in 2016, it pays to more closely follow the candidates’ delegate totals. Thanks to the Republican National Committee (RNC), caucuses and primaries held prior to mid-March mandate proportional distribution of delegates based on candidates’ vote totals in given contests. Most early caucuses and primaries impose threshold minimums to win delegates (say, Alabama, with a 20% threshold).
Prior to Mid-March, 25 States, along with DC, Guam, and Puerto Rico, will hold proportional contests. That accounts for 1,022 bound delegates (“bound” being delegates committed to a candidate for the first vote). 45% of the bound delegates will be picked proportionally or in “hybrid” formats, which include triggering provisions for larger delegate yields for candidates who meet higher vote percentage thresholds. There are WTA (winner-take-all) thresholds, but those will be quite difficult to achieve.
Starting with Super Tuesday, March 15, most of the remaining states have opted to hold winner-take-all contests, though a handful will continue to make proportional distributions. From mid-March forward, 1,238 bound delegates will be chosen (Colorado’s delegates declare at convention).
The number of delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination is 1,237. There are a number of unbound (3 per state) and unpledged delegates. The unpledged delegates are mostly establishment picks who would factor in at a deadlocked convention.
Short of a breakout by one the major contenders (Trump, Cruz, and Rubio), it’s not hard to imagine a scenario where the proportional phase of the nominating process yields tightly packed delegate counts among the three. Complicating matters is if new life is breathed into the Carson, Kasich, or Christe campaigns (as improbable as that appears).
But, say you, won’t the nomination fight be resolved with Super Tuesday and the subsequent contests?
That could happen, but consider this prospect. Cruz, Rubio, and Trump take roughly a third each of the delegates in the proportional phase. For illustration, say, 340 delegates per man. That means in the winner-take-all phase, one of the principals would need to capture 897 of the available 1,238 bound delegates to win. That’s about 73% of the total or three out of every four delegates. Possible, but how likely? This assumes, too, that the principals are competitive with one another, affording each the chance to pick off states.
Cruz, Trump, and Rubio have the resources to stay the course. Trump is self-funding. Cruz’s fundraising operation is already solid and benefits all the more from his Iowa win. Rubio’s stronger than anticipated finish in Iowa boosts his fundraising. And as Rubio consolidates establishment voters -- as he began doing in Iowa -- and lesser establishment candidates drop out, expect a significant upswing in his campaign’s financial fortunes.
Writes Michael Snyder at “Before It’s News”:
[I]f no candidate is able to secure enough delegates, that means that we would end up with a “brokered convention”. The mechanics of a brokered convention can get quite complicated, but on a practical level what that would essentially mean is that the party establishment would get to hand select the nominee. And in case you are wondering, that would not be Donald Trump or Ted Cruz.
Snyder’s assessment is flawed in a couple of respects (though not his conclusion about the candidates).
“Deadlocked” versus a “brokered” convention, the more accurate designation is “deadlocked.” A brokered convention suggests that party bosses call the shots nearly exclusively. The party boss era in American politics is long past.
Though unpledged delegates -- who are likely establishment recruits -- will play a critical role at a deadlocked convention, it’s important to remember that bound delegates are only committed to their candidates on the first ballot.
Thereafter, they’re unbound. Candidates’ and, perhaps, dark horses’ (yes, a draft is possible) primary focus for vote gathering will be among all those plentiful unbound state delegates. If the convention deadlocks, it’s going to be the Wild West, with plenty of wheeling and dealing, barroom brawls, shoot-outs, shenanigans, and backroom deals. But all that will occur across delegations and not just among the establishment few.
Snyder’s guess that the nominee won’t be named “Cruz” or “Trump” should a deadlock occur is reasonable. Deadlocked conventions -- if past brokered conventions are any guide -- tend to nominee candidates who at least appear more centrist or moderate. At a deadlocked 2016 Cleveland affair, the buzz word may be “electable.” Right now, Marco Rubio seems to fit the bill. As Snyder pointed out in his article, that’s not an endorsement; it’s merely an observation.
If the Republican field narrows to two principal candidates, then the chances for a deadlocked convention melt away. But if, as anticipated, Cruz, Trump, and Rubio (and possibly one or two others) remain in the race, then a deadlocked convention moves from “maybe” to “probable” with each passing primary, caucus, and state convention. The Republican presidential nominee who emerges will have done so after the fight of his political life – and ours.
The big winner in Iowa’s Republican caucuses on Monday night might not have been Ted Cruz. It may have been a nominating process that fails to yield a clear winner. A clear winner being a candidate who goes to Cleveland this summer with the presidential nomination in hand.
At the end of Monday night, which count really mattered? Delegates acquired. As of this writing, Cruz has bagged eight delegates, Trump and Rubio, seven each, with four other delegates going to also-rans.
Raw vote totals are what most folk tend to watch and weigh. But in 2016, it pays to more closely follow the candidates’ delegate totals. Thanks to the Republican National Committee (RNC), caucuses and primaries held prior to mid-March mandate proportional distribution of delegates based on candidates’ vote totals in given contests. Most early caucuses and primaries impose threshold minimums to win delegates (say, Alabama, with a 20% threshold).
Prior to Mid-March, 25 States, along with DC, Guam, and Puerto Rico, will hold proportional contests. That accounts for 1,022 bound delegates (“bound” being delegates committed to a candidate for the first vote). 45% of the bound delegates will be picked proportionally or in “hybrid” formats, which include triggering provisions for larger delegate yields for candidates who meet higher vote percentage thresholds. There are WTA (winner-take-all) thresholds, but those will be quite difficult to achieve.
Starting with Super Tuesday, March 15, most of the remaining states have opted to hold winner-take-all contests, though a handful will continue to make proportional distributions. From mid-March forward, 1,238 bound delegates will be chosen (Colorado’s delegates declare at convention).
The number of delegates needed to secure the GOP nomination is 1,237. There are a number of unbound (3 per state) and unpledged delegates. The unpledged delegates are mostly establishment picks who would factor in at a deadlocked convention.
Short of a breakout by one the major contenders (Trump, Cruz, and Rubio), it’s not hard to imagine a scenario where the proportional phase of the nominating process yields tightly packed delegate counts among the three. Complicating matters is if new life is breathed into the Carson, Kasich, or Christe campaigns (as improbable as that appears).
But, say you, won’t the nomination fight be resolved with Super Tuesday and the subsequent contests?
That could happen, but consider this prospect. Cruz, Rubio, and Trump take roughly a third each of the delegates in the proportional phase. For illustration, say, 340 delegates per man. That means in the winner-take-all phase, one of the principals would need to capture 897 of the available 1,238 bound delegates to win. That’s about 73% of the total or three out of every four delegates. Possible, but how likely? This assumes, too, that the principals are competitive with one another, affording each the chance to pick off states.
Cruz, Trump, and Rubio have the resources to stay the course. Trump is self-funding. Cruz’s fundraising operation is already solid and benefits all the more from his Iowa win. Rubio’s stronger than anticipated finish in Iowa boosts his fundraising. And as Rubio consolidates establishment voters -- as he began doing in Iowa -- and lesser establishment candidates drop out, expect a significant upswing in his campaign’s financial fortunes.
Writes Michael Snyder at “Before It’s News”:
[I]f no candidate is able to secure enough delegates, that means that we would end up with a “brokered convention”. The mechanics of a brokered convention can get quite complicated, but on a practical level what that would essentially mean is that the party establishment would get to hand select the nominee. And in case you are wondering, that would not be Donald Trump or Ted Cruz.
Snyder’s assessment is flawed in a couple of respects (though not his conclusion about the candidates).
“Deadlocked” versus a “brokered” convention, the more accurate designation is “deadlocked.” A brokered convention suggests that party bosses call the shots nearly exclusively. The party boss era in American politics is long past.
Though unpledged delegates -- who are likely establishment recruits -- will play a critical role at a deadlocked convention, it’s important to remember that bound delegates are only committed to their candidates on the first ballot.
Thereafter, they’re unbound. Candidates’ and, perhaps, dark horses’ (yes, a draft is possible) primary focus for vote gathering will be among all those plentiful unbound state delegates. If the convention deadlocks, it’s going to be the Wild West, with plenty of wheeling and dealing, barroom brawls, shoot-outs, shenanigans, and backroom deals. But all that will occur across delegations and not just among the establishment few.
Snyder’s guess that the nominee won’t be named “Cruz” or “Trump” should a deadlock occur is reasonable. Deadlocked conventions -- if past brokered conventions are any guide -- tend to nominee candidates who at least appear more centrist or moderate. At a deadlocked 2016 Cleveland affair, the buzz word may be “electable.” Right now, Marco Rubio seems to fit the bill. As Snyder pointed out in his article, that’s not an endorsement; it’s merely an observation.
If the Republican field narrows to two principal candidates, then the chances for a deadlocked convention melt away. But if, as anticipated, Cruz, Trump, and Rubio (and possibly one or two others) remain in the race, then a deadlocked convention moves from “maybe” to “probable” with each passing primary, caucus, and state convention. The Republican presidential nominee who emerges will have done so after the fight of his political life – and ours.
Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2016/02/cleveland_cliffhang...
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Replies to This Discussion
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Permalink Reply by DE on
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Late Breaking News!
Dow down more than 300 points as oil, global sell-off drags down US markets
Oil prices slide to a 12-year low, global markets plunge sending US stocks into an opening-bell tailspin, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down more than 300 points. (FoxNews)
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Hillary campaign’s response to latest email revelations reveals des... - 1/20/16 January 20, 2016Campaign running on empty as scandal morphs into catastrophe. More
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Islam and Rape: Joined at the Hip We should not be surprised to see all the stories of "refugee" rape epidemics in Cologne, Germany and elsewhere. More======================================================================Israel to Zuckerberg: Stop Killing Jews The wave of stabbings in Israel are a Facebook-fueled intifada. And once it is tested in Israel, it will be coming to an American street near you. More=================================================================Gun Control: Obama’s Last Gasp? When it comes to ignoring the separation of powers and the Constitution’s limits on executive power, gun control isn’t the only playing field the Obama administration has tried to redraw. More======================================================================Getting ‘Medieval’ on the Top 400 Taxpayers When it comes to the federal individual income tax, forget about the 99 percent sentimentalized by the Occupy Wall Street crew. More===============================================================Medicaid Expansion -- Bait and Switch States choosing to expand Medicaid take on additional costs due to more people on their Medicaid rolls. More===================================================================Obamacare Replacement Made Easy Here is a handy list of dos and don'ts for Republicans as they consider how to get rid of Barack Obama's signature law. More=============================================================
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Permalink Reply by Hankelvis on
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I am just looking for a candidate that the unions (mafia) does not have in their pocket. The mob owns the MSM and voter fraud and deceit is Normal for them.
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Well stated Hank and Trump is a deal maker...and takes everything critical of him in a blind rage...Therefor that type person can usually be had by anyone who flatters them....Definitely a flaw in his character..or lack thereof...
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Permalink Reply by Dmitri Veans on
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If polls don't start to change soon Trump will have the votes in the first round, this will remove any chance at a brokered convention. The fact is everyone is getting used to the idea of a Trump win and that's why this headline has died and is not likely to be revived. .
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You are probably right ...as you most often are...I may make some changes in it....Have to think of a better title tho ..maybe tomorrow unless I have an epiphany....:)I kept it this long to rub their noses in the fact that the public found out...and were furious...
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If he gets Iowa, New Hamshire becomes a given and South Carolina will be almost impossible to stop him. That leaves him super Tuesday to crush everyone else. At that point, the nomination cycle is over. Time for me to put on my campaign hat and start working on some democrat presidential candidate or start looking for anther place to live outside of America.
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For shame, you need to stay here and fight back no matter who wins. Because none of the candidates are perfect and all have hidden agendas. But to allow the Dems to win again -on my considered opinion that is the worst thing to do.
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Well stated Virginia..Dems are not an option...I am working for Cruz..but I will vote for Trump if that is th nominee..because the dems have destroyed America and cannot EVER be an option..
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The Atlantic: How Palin Created Trump
Molly Ball writes in the Atlantic: “Like no one else before Trump, Palin saw a constituency on the right for a politics of resentment that sought as its champion a pure agent of chaos, unfettered by positive or substantive views… Trump, like Palin, is playing to a populist, antiestablishment politics of white working-class cultural resentment.”
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McCain ‘Cronies’ Show ‘True Colors’ in Palin Attack Says Primary Ch...
McCain challenger Dr. Kelli Ward hit back Wednesday at “offensive” attacks from Sen. John McCain and his “establishment cronies” after a former McCain senior adviser called conservative leader Governor Sarah Palin — McCain’s 2008 Presidential running mate — “classless,” incompetent, and a “moron.”
Jeb: The Only Chance Hillary Becomes President Is If We Nominate Trump
Wednesday on CNN’s “The Situation Room ,” while discussing a new CNN poll that shows him tied for third in New Hampshire, Republican presidential candidate former Gov. Jeb Bush (R-FL) said it’s a “tragedy” if his opponent Donald Trump becomes the GOP
Rand Paul Explains Why Trump Is Like Gollum
Wednesday on CNN’s “The Lead,” Republican presidential candidate Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) explained his Facebook post comparing his rival Donald Trump to Gollum from “The Lord of the Rings.” Host Jake Tapper asked, “Today you wrote a Facebook post in
Krauthammer: Hillary’s Email Defense ‘Reminiscent’ Of Beginning of ...
Columnist Charles Krauthammer argued Democratic presidential candidate former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s latest email defense is “reminiscent of her reaction with the beginning of the Lewinsky scandal, when they denied the truth and she said this is the vast
Hillary Clinton Will Get a Final Chance to Beat Bernie Sanders in I...
CNN has scheduled a primetime town hall event in Iowa to give Hillary Clinton an opportunity to beat back the Bernie Sanders surge on the cusp of the Iowa Democratic caucus.
Pressure Mounting: More ‘Top Secret’ Emails Confirmed on Hillary Cl...
The number of “top secret” emails found on Hillary Clinton’s server now exceeds the two that were discovered last year and which became the basis for a DOJ referral to examine the handling of classified information.
Donald Trump: Hillary Clinton ‘Should Be Indicted’
Billionaire candidate Donald Trump says Hillary Clinton should be indicted for her mishandling of classified documents – after a Fox News report showed that she was sharing documents on her insecure server that was classified higher than top secret.
Ann Coulter: Liberal and Conservative Media Unite Against Trump
We have never had total war against a candidate like we’re seeing with Donald Trump. All elements of national media are uniting to stop him.
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Geller: Sarah Palin Jumps the Shark
Palin has indeed jumped the shark...Trump looked VERY UNCONFORTABLE as he stood beside her and She shrieked like a fish wife....Trump may be crude and vulgar..but he does not like his women to be crude and vulgar...Palin has raised some trash kids as well..
I am sure there are a great many conservatives who were deeply disappointed with Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Donald Trump Tuesday. It was hard on the ears and harder on the heart. If anything, Sarah Palin and Donald Trump made Ted Cruz look more presidential.
Conservatives, Sheriffs and Sen. Perdue Block Obama’s Pro-Amnesty J...
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MSNBC’s “Hardball” host Chris Matthews said that “I do believe in reparations, if he could figure out what it would be” in a discussion on Democratic presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders’ (I-VT) position on the issues on Wednesday. Matthews initially joked,
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The Wall Street mega-bank Goldman Sachs is a top donor to the 2016 presidential campaigns of establishment candidates Hillary Clinton, Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush.
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On Wednesday’s “Hannity” on the Fox News Channel, Florida Senator and Republican presidential candidate Marco Rubio declared that if Democratic presidential candidate former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is elected, “One of the first things she’ll probably have to do is
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Texas Senator and Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz argued that “we’re seeing the Washington establishment getting behind Donald Trump” who has said “He’ll go along to get along” and has “basically the same healthcare plan” as Democratic presidential candidate Senator
Rand: Trump’s and Cruz’s ISIS Approaches ‘May End Up Creating More ...
Kentucky Senator and Republican presidential candidate Rand Paul argued fellow candidates Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Donald Trump’s approach to ISIS “may end up creating more terrorists than you kill, if you’re going to do indiscriminate bombing” on Wednesday’s broadcast
NH Poll: Trump Leads, Cage-Match for Second
A new CNN poll of New Hampshire finds Donald Trump still dominating the crowded Republican field, with the support of 36 percent of Republicans in the Granite State, up somewhat from his position last month.
Exclusive– ‘Pawn Stars’ Rick Harrison Calls Marco Rubio ‘The Real D...
Pawn Stars’ Rick Harrison teams up with Marco Rubio in a new ad to tell voters that the Florida senator is the “real deal.”
Bill Clinton Attacks Bernie Sanders In Front of Tiny Crowd In New H...
Former president Bill Clinton appeared before 100 people in New Hampshire Wednesday as his Republican rivals Donald Trump and Sarah Palin spoke to an overflow crowd of about 15,000 in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
Bob Dole: Trump Would Be A Better GOP Nominee Than Cruz
The GOP’s 1992 presidential nominee, former Sen. Bob Dole, said Wednesday that the GOP will suffer “wholesale losses” in 2016 if Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) becomes the Republican nominee.
Social Conservatives Alarmed About John Kasich’s Surge in New Hamps...
A new poll out this week shows former Ohio Gov. John Kasich surging to second place in New Hampshire with 20 percent support among GOP voters, only 7 percent behind Donald Trump.
Norman Lear: Donald Trump Is the Right’s ‘F— You to All the Clowns ...
Television legend Norman Lear does not believe Donald Trump will become the next President of the United States.
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