Antonin Scalia's sudden death means a plethora of potential problems for the Conservatives and Republicans. Although Mitch McConnell says the Senate will not confirm any of Obama's nominations to the Supreme Court whom ever they might be. How long until Mitch and the rest sell out like they did on Obama's other nominations they had until now been blocking? We now have a evenly divided Court, and that will most probably show as a tie on any and all cases that come before it. Most uninformed people would think that would be a good thing and deadlock any decision. However the real problem is when there is a tie, the lower courts decision is upheld with no precedent set. Look at the controversial cases that are on the Court's docket and decide how they will affect our future. Here's what could happen if there is a tie in all of these.
- Whole Women's Health v. Cole: A challenge to the Texas law that has closed about half of the state's abortion clinics since 2013, and the first major abortion case in nearly a decade. The Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled largely in favor of the law, meaning a tie would leave it in place without setting a new precedent on abortion.
- US v. Texas: The challenge to President Obama's 2014 executive action on immigration, which would protect about 4 million people — including unauthorized immigrants who'd come to the US as children and are now older than 30, as well as some parents of US citizens or permanent residents — from deportation. The Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled against the Obama administration in November; a tie would uphold that decision.
- Evenwel v. Abbott: A case considering whether all residents or only eligible voters should be counted when drawing state legislative districts. Counting those who are not eligible to vote — convicted felons, immigrants who are not citizens, and children, among others — generally helps Democrats; not counting those people would give a bigger voice to white and rural voters. The lower court, the US District Court for the western district of Texas, held that everyone should be counted; a tie would uphold that.
- Friedrichs v. California Teachers Association: A case challenging whether public employees who are not members of a union can be required to pay an "agency fee" or "fair share fee" to cover the cost of collective bargaining for the contract that also applies to them. The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled against the California nonunion teachers who argued they should not have to pay, but they did so for the case to be appealed to the Supreme Court, which would have to overturn a precedent to find in the nonunion teachers' favor.
- Zubik v. Burwell: A challenge to the Obama administration's accommodation for religious nonprofits who object to being required to offer health insurance covering birth control. (The nonprofits themselves are not required to pay for the coverage, but they must submit a form so that the insurers themselves will do so.) The Third Circuit Court of Appeals found the accommodation is not a burden on religious freedom.
- Fisher v. Texas: A challenge to Texas' use of affirmative action in admissions that the court has already decided once before, in 2013, and sent back to a lower court. Justice Elena Kagan has recused herself because she dealt with the case as solicitor general, meaning only seven justices will be voting on the final opinion and a tie is not possible. Anthony Kennedy is the swing vote, with the decision likely to be 4-3.
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13 updates to this stream since February 13, 2016
Finally I have an important Question for everyone.
Considering all of the above issues;
- "Ask yourself how many of these cases that will invariably now be heard will be useful in promoting Obama's agenda on immigration and voting rights? Which ones will skew the agendas in the Liberals favor? What will happen when McConnell backs down and allows a confirmation vote like he has always backed down on controversial subjects in the past deferring to the Liberals?"