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REPUBLICAN PARTY:
Businessman Donald Trump (New York) |
Former Governor Jeb Bush (Florida) |
Dr. Ben Carson (Florida) |
Governor Chris Christie (New Jersey) |
US Senator Ted Cruz (Texas) |
Former IRS Commissioner Mark Everson (Mississippi) |
Businesswoman Carly Fiorina (Virginia) |
Former Governor Jim Gilmore (Virginia) |
US Senator Lindsey Graham (South Carolina) |
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee (Florida) |
Governor Bobby Jindal (Louisiana) |
Governor John Kasich (Ohio) |
Former Governor George Pataki (New York) |
US Senator Rand Paul (Kentucky) |
US Senator Marco Rubio (Florida) |
Former US Senator Rick Santorum (Pennsylvania) |
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August 27, 2015, 06:00 am
By Ben Kamisar
Polling experts agree on one thing when it comes to Donald Trump’s presidential run: They’ve never seen anything like it.
The businessman’s dominance of the Republican presidential race is forcing experienced political hands to question whether everything they know about winning the White House is wrong.
The shocks have come in quick succession, with the businessman first rocketing to the top of national polls, and then taking double-digit leads in the early voting states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.
In another act of political magic, Trump managed to flip his favorability rating from negative to positive in one poll during the span of a month — a feat that Monmouth University’s Patrick Murray called “astounding.”
“That defies any rule in presidential politics that I’ve ever seen,” Murray, the director Monmouth’s Polling Institute, told The Hill.
Trump’s favorability rose from 20 percent to 52 percent among Republican voters between July and August, Monmouth found.
While a later CNN/ORC poll did not find a similar shift in Trump’s favorability, the Monmouth data was yet another sign that he is a candidate to be reckoned with.
“Throw out the rulebook when it comes to Trump, that’s not even in the parameters of what we see as unusual,” Murray said.
Trump’s dominance of the race has flustered the Republican field, with many of the candidates trying their best to bring him back to earth.
But as the attacks on Trump have intensified, so has his level of support.
Polls released Tuesday show Trump lapping the field in New Hampshire, where he leads his nearest Republican rival by 24 percentage points. The story is the same in South Carolina, where the latest poll gave him a 15-point edge.
While political scientists and other experts continue to insist Trump will not win the Republican nomination, he’s converted at least one high-profile skeptic.
GOP pollster Frank Luntz had dismissed Trump from the start, and declared after the first presidential debate that his campaign was doomed.
But after convening a focus group Monday evening where Trump supporters showed an unflappable allegiance, Luntz changed his tune.
“This is real. I’m having trouble processing,” he said, according to Time.
“I want to put the Republican leadership behind this mirror and let them see. They need to wake up. They don’t realize how the grassroots have abandoned them,” he added.
Polling experts, including Marist’s Lee Miringoff, say Trump is weathering political storms that would doom other candidates because his appeal is more about attitude than ideology.
While many of Trump’s supporters identify as strong conservatives, some of the policies he’s proposed — including increased spending on the border and higher taxes on the wealthy — have prompted accusations from rivals like former Fla. Gov. Jeb Bush that he isn’t a true conservative.
Miringoff said doesn’t expect those attacks to stick.
“This is the next step of the Tea Party — someone who can tap into the sentiment that people have about all the frustration and turn it into ‘We are going to make America great again,’ ” he said.
“This is not a policy paper.”
But even if Trump is rewriting the political playbook, can he go the distance?
Experts note that the last presidential nominating season was full of booms and busts, with Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry all flaming out after time at the top of the polls.
The next round of surveys on the Republican race will go a long way toward showing whether Trump has staying power, pollsters say.
“It will take another three or four weeks before we realize what happened, whether he can stick around or if his support is eroding,” Murray said.
“We are at the turning point, the eye of the storm, but we don’t know how much longer the storm is going to continue.”
Experts see several dangers ahead for Trump.
For one, he tends to fare better with broader samples than groups of likely primary voters, as pointed out by The New York Times.
Second, there’s no guarantee that Trump’s summer surge will translate to action at the ballot box.
“The percentage who go to caucus events and vote in primaries in Iowa and New Hampshire are really quite conservative and ideological. It remains to be seen if he can get impassioned people out to the polls,” said Rutgers political science professor Cliff Zukin.
“Polls are general, and the electorate that turns out to those events will be different than those who pollsters are contacting now.”
There’s also the question of how much the size of the Republican field is helping Trump, with voter loyalties now splintered among 17 major candidates. Should some of them drop out, Republican voters could coalesce around an alternative.
Miringoff said a narrowing of the field could help candidates such as Bush, Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker rally establishment support.
That’s mainly because many voters still view Trump as unable to win in the general election. Most polls show Trump trailing in a matchup against Hillary Clinton, which his rivals have seized on to paint him as unelectable.
For now, Trump is flying high.
“Staying power is there for the immediate and moderate future, there’s no doubt about that. He’s the buzz of the campaign,” Miringhoff said.
“I can’t imagine the mistakes he would make that would disqualify him.”
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/252066-pollsters-dumbfounded-by...
About Donald Trump!
“I can’t imagine the mistakes he would make that would disqualify him.”
I can't either now this man on the other hand:
By Julian Hattem and Kristina Wong - 08/27/15 04:32 PM EDT
Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) are jointly hosting a rally on Capitol Hill on Sept. 9 to protest the nuclear deal with Iran.
The event, being organized by Tea Party Patriots, the Center for Security Policy and the Zionist Organization of America, will be staged on the West Lawn of the Capitol, the groups said in a statement.
Cruz, the keynote speaker, invited Trump to speak, the statement said.
The joint event underscores the strengthening ties between the two Republicans.
Like many Republicans, both candidates have blasted the Obama administration over the nuclear deal with Iran, which would set limits on the country's ability to build a nuclear weapon in exchange for lifting sanctions on its oil and financial sectors.
Iran will become “so rich and powerful” once the deal goes into effect, Trump said in July.
“Ultimately, they’re going to have nukes all over the place,” he added.
Cruz, meanwhile, has called the deal “catastrophic” and “disastrous.”
Their rally will likely occur ahead of a congressional vote on the deal in mid-September, after two frenzied months of lobbying over the agreement.
Though majorities in both chambers are expected to vote to kill the deal, it remains unclear whether Senate lawmakers will be able to overcome a Democratic-led filibuster of the legislation. It’s also unlikely that opponents of the deal would be able to override a veto of the bill from President Obama.
Congress will return from their month long recess on Tuesday, Sept. 8.
Tea Party Patriots CEO and co-founder Jenny Beth Martin said the group organized protests at 185 different local congressional offices across the country recently.
"This ‘deal’ does not prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons; it virtually guarantees it," she said in a statement. "Congress must reject this terrible deal."
This story was updated at 6:45 p.m.
http://thehill.com/policy/national-security/252134-trump-cruz-to-ho...
Ramos a Clinton operative? Harass Trump!
SURPRISE! Jorge Ramos’s daughter works for Hillary campaign
Jorge Ramos, the amnesty activist moonlighting as a Univision and Fusion journalist, revealed in June that his daughter is an employee of the Hillary Clinton campaign.
As journalists the most important thing we have is our credibility and integrity. We maintain that, in part, through transparency with our audience, our colleagues and our critics. That is why I am disclosing that my daughter, Paola, has accepted a position working with Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign.
Evidently journalism & activism have the same definition in Mexico!
http://www.theamericanmirror.com/surprise-jorge-ramoss-daughter-wor...
Thanks for posting Charles! Yes many unsavory characters work for Clinton. The Ramos rant at Trump is not a surprise Ramos is not a journalist he is an activist for illegal immigration and LaRaza so it is fitting that his daughter join Huma on the Hitlerly team.
Read Ricky Martin's Blistering Op-Ed About Donald Trump
Bradley: “Yeah, take your political cues from a freak show like Ricky Martin. Ramos was rude and in good Mexican fashion jumped the line. HE violated the rights of every other reporter in the room. He deserved to be thrown out. He didn't do it because he wanted his oh so important questions answered he did it for his own ego, he wanted to be a "big shot." The cretin, like most Mexicans, believe they have the RIGHT to violate U.S. laws and it's sovereignty, Ramos is an amnesty for all illegals, open border activist posing as a "news" person.”
These ladies are great!
Breaking the Law is Not A Human Right: Why Jorge Ramos Is Wrong
Trump recently sparred with Univision’s Jorge Ramos (a man who refers to Trump as “the loudest voice of intolerance, hatred and division in the United States”) over immigration; even temporarily kicking Ramos out of a press conference in Iowa for refusing to wait his turn.
Jim Hoft Aug 27th, 2015 11:54 pm 143 Comments
Sherman wrote The Loudest Voice in the Room in 2014 on FOX News President Roger Ailes. Today he told Malzberg that Megyn Kelly wants to go mainstream and is keeping her options open.
From the interview:
Gabriel Sherman: In the days after the debate all of the emails and messages that FOX News was getting from their viewers were pro-Trump emails. Roger Ailes and his executives at FOX were shocked at the volume of the response. And, they really didn’t know what to do because their audience loves Trump. And yet FOX be all measures really hammered him. So they were sort of treating him with kid gloves until this interview when he came forward and questioned her vacation. That’s when they released a statement and compared him to conspiracy theories… Roger Ailes has never really faced an adversary like Donald Trump. Donald Trump doesn’t play by his rules so Ailes does not know what to do. This week he decided to come out and hit him…
Steve Malzberg: You also talk about in this piece the conspiracy theories that this is all setting up down the road the big Megyn Kelly – Donald Trump sit-down. And this is somehow being, if not coordinated, discussed by Ailes and Trump… Why is Megyn Kelly not firing back at this point?
Gabriel Sherman: Well, she, up until this point, was the fastest rising star at FOX News. She was really becoming the face of the network. And, I don’t think she wants to get down in the weeds and the gutter and play this kind of hardball politics.
Steve Malzberg: Because she’ll lose.
Gabriel Sherman: Or, she wants to, part of this is she wants to go mainstream. There was some talk before her most recent contract that she was flirting with CNN to kind of jump from FOX to CNN. And, I think she wants to leave all options on the table. If she gets down in the weeds and slugs it out with Trump that will hurt her brand.
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2015/08/breaking-megyn-kelly-leavin...
Too Funny.....now where did he get that idea??????
By Elliot Smilowitz
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